This horse didn’t get to winning ways in point to points but made a winning start to his hurdling career earlier this month at Stratford, beating Havock by a neck at an odds-on price.
He wasn’t the most convincing winner there but it does bode well that he buckled down to win in the final moments of the race to beat the 15/8 shot.
He’s likely to improve a lot from that run and if his jumping is any better should make it another good tussle, this time against the odds-on favourite Recoup.
1.50: Take Centre Stage 5/2 (NAP – 2pts)
Guillame should probably improve after his second chase attempt on seasonal debut earlier this month, but still concedes weight to the pick of this race.
Six One Nine would have been the pick of the day had there not been soft ground, as he’s dropped down to a handy mark but has never with these conditions before and only placed once over hurdles.
Take Centre Stage has the promise that a lot of the other rivals don’t have at this stage as he’s running for just the second time over fences after his chase debut last month.
Has had a decent amount of time off since and after running to a good level in fourth which also came on soft ground which seems to suit here.
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Southwell betting tips
12.40: Combination tricast: Somespring Special, Fazayte and No No Tango (1pt)
Had her first attempt over fences last month but there’s a few reasons to not be too worried about her pulling up as she stopped suddenly due to losing a right shoe.
He was a very promising hurdler, placing behind the likes of Outlaw Peter in novice company in March.
But won twice in a row quite convincingly before making the move to fences this season and should have learned a lot from that first run where though she did jump left on occasion should have more in the tank this time.
Fazayte has won three times on the trot now and still looks to be improving so has to enter calculations here, also going well in these kinds of conditions and over this distance.
But you also wouldn’t want to rule out No No Tango who looks like he could improve with another run since having a wind op.
He was fourth on chase debut last time out but still has more to offer after running nicely enough behind School Days Over.
P+L from 09/10/23: +34.39pts
Profit+Loss from 10/07/23-08/10/23: +73.37pts
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